ekimde crahhh zıplaya zıplaya geliyor.

[kayahan]

6 YENİ BANKA DAHA BATTI.

Bank Closing Information - September 17, 2010
These links contain useful information for the customers and vendors of these closed banks.

Maritime Savings Bank, West Allis, WI
Bramble Savings Bank, Milford, OH
The Peoples Bank, Winder, GA
First Commerce Community Bank, Douglasville, GA
Bank of Ellijay, Elijay, GA
ISN Bank, Cherry Hill, NJ

http://www.fdic.gov/

[lazar]

eylül, ekim gibi kısa vadelerde crash beklemek doğru değil,
yanlız orta vadede kaçınılmaz...

Aşağıda okuduğum bir makaleden alıntıladığım bir bölüm var...

Prof. Charles Nenner de uzun dönemli döngüler ve dalgalar -cyces & waves- üzerindeki, çalışmaları ve öngörüleriyle, büyük saygınlık kazanmış bir araştırmacı. Cuma günü Bloomberg TV’de, deflasyonun çoktan başladığını, bir Japonya senaryosunun (durgunluk-deflasyon) küresel çapta yaşanmasını engelleyecek hiçbir neden göremediğini söylüyordu. Şu günlerde finans medyasında, pek bir ilgi odağı olan Nenner aslında teknik analist değil, tarihsel ve yapısal gelişmelerle, uzun dönemli trendlerle ilgileniyor. Nenner, çarşamba günü de CNBC’de iki yıl içinde Dow Jones’un dalgalanarak 5000 düzeyine kadar ineceğini ileri sürüyordu. Nenner, 2020 yılına kadar bir toparlanma görmüyor. Savaş devreleriyle de ilgilenen Nenner, 2012-13 döneminde büyük çaplı bir savaş bekliyor...

[kayahan]

Turkey’s economy: warning signs
Delphine Strauss

Success brings its own problems. In Turkey, the strength of domestic demand is fuelling one of the fastest recoveries from recession among emerging economies. But it is also fuelling rapid expansion in the current account deficit, highlighting the return of a persistent imbalance in the Turkish economy.


But investors have more or less resigned themselves to a pre-election spending spree. A bigger worry for many is the speed with which Turkey’s trade and current account deficits are swelling as imports recover from last year’s slump.

The foreign trade deficit rose from $5.6bn in June to $6.4bn in July, the highest level since August 2008. Illustrating the divergence of Turkish and European growth, auto sector exports fell in July, with overall export growth slowing to 6 per cent year on year, while imports of motor vehicles surged, fuelling a 24.6 per cent surge in overall imports.

Ozgur Altug, economist at BCG Partners in Istanbul, says this latest data suggests the current account deficit could reach $38bn in 2010, more than double last year’s level, and predicts it could balloon to more than $50bn, above 7 per cent of GDP, in 2011.

This is nothing new: Turkey’s current account deficit has persisted throughout the last decade of growth because of a very low savings rate, a dependence on imported energy, and because manufacturers and
exporters rely heavily on imported materials.

But a note published last week by Nouriel Roubini’s Global Economics analysis firm warned: “While the rapid expansion of the deficit is a concern, the real issue is the deterioration in the quality of its financing.”

In recent years, the deficit has been financed largely by foreign direct investment and by Turkish companies overseas borrowing, but now an increasing proportion is plugged by more volatile portfolio investment inflows.

“For the first time in ten years, the figures don’t add up…The risk of Turkish lira depreciation in 2011 has increased significantly,” Altug says.

Turkey’s central bank is alert to the issue, warning in the minutes of its latest monetary policy committee meeting that if Turkey’s robust growth prospects attract further capital inflows, it could “exacerbate the divergence between the pace of recovery in the domestic demand and external demand.” If concerns grew over the financing of the current account deficit, it could “utilize other policy instruments such as reserve requirement ratios and liquidity tools more effectively,” the minutes said.

Ahmet Akarli, an economist at Goldman Sachs whose forecast for Turkish growth is above the average, expects capital inflows to continue, saying: “I don’t think the current account will be a problem any time soon… there is ample liquidity globally.”

But Turkey remains vulnerable to swings in global risk appetite. As Neil Shearing at Capital Economics underlines, the current account deficit “is now at the limits of what might be deemed to be sustainable and the quality of external funding is deteriorating.”

Politicians are unlikely to tackle the reforms needed to address the issue before next year’s elections - but it should be high on the list of priorities for the next government.

[kayahan]

Bank of Ireland Ireland's economy faces the prospect of a double dip recession as figures reveal national output dropped in the second quarter of 2010. Photograph: Luke MacGregor/Reuters

Ireland's recovery from the deepest recession of any eurozone country came to a quick and unexpected end today when the Irish government announced that national output dropped by 1.2% in the second quarter of 2010.

After posting an increase in growth in the first three months of the year, official data showed that the former "Celtic Tiger" sank into a double dip recession in the spring.

News of the relapse rattled the financial markets and put additional pressure on Dublin's unpopular coalition government, which had previously insisted that its tough budget cuts were helping to stabilise the economy. Ireland has also been hailed by Britain's coalition government for its decision to tackle the double-digit budget deficit left by the collapse of its property bubble with immediate and deep cuts.

Investors warned that fears about Ireland's ability to generate growth would push up the interest rates on its debt.

Jeremy Cook, chief economist at currency dealer World First, said: "When I saw the figure I honestly thought it was a misprint; it's just horrible. Trading today had kicked off with rumours of Anglo Irish Bank defaulting on debt and has led to the Irish CDS (credit default swap) – insurance against the Irish government defaulting – move to a record 5%. To put that in context, the market believes that Ireland is twice as likely to default on its debt as Vietnam."

Interest rates on Ireland's 10-year bonds have risen above 6.7% for the first time since the euro's launch in 1999. Irish debt is trading 4.25 percentage points above equivalent German bonds, also a record during the euro era.

Today's data showed that growth, as measured by gross domestic product, was 1.8% lower in the second quarter of 2010 than in the same period a year earlier. Growth in the first quarter was also revised down from 2.7% to 2.2%.

There was slightly more encouraging news from the figures for gross national product (GNP), an alternative way of measuring growth, which excludes the multinational companies attracted to Ireland when the economy was booming in the 1990s. GNP fell 0.3% in the second quarter after falling 1.2% in the first quarter, but was down 4.1% on the second quarter of 2009, according to the government data.

[babazulu]

Biz ne dersek diyelim piyasanın tekniğini parası olan yon veriyor umalım Ekim ayıda pembe bir ay olmasın

[babazulu]

Ekime de ne yakışır kıreş... Güz ayı...

[babazulu]

Sabah gazetesi İşte insan ekindeki analizini Murat Arın şöyle bitiriyor;

"ABD borsalarında bir ay içinde yüzde 30-35 düzeyinde bir satış olabilir ve bu durum, Wall Street'ten bütün borsalara sıçrayabilir. Bu beklentim değişmedi ve piyasalardaki dengesizlikler sanki bu beklentilerimi destekliyor. Son birkaç haftadır yanıldığım için bu beklentiyi güçlü bir biçimde savunmuyorum. Ama bu bir olasılık olarak aklınızda bulunsun. "

Yazının devamı için

[babazulu]

Her ne yönde olacağına inanırsak inanalım haberleri vb. teknik analiz sürecinden geçirerek değerlendirmeli ve hislerimizden uzak kararlar doğrultusunda, bir yöne aşık olmadan , hareket etmeliyiz...

'Dow Jones 2011'de 4200-5000'e gerileyebilir'

11.05.2010 19:29:17 Son Güncelleme:11.05.2010 20:27:30 finanstrend.com

CNBC'ye konuşan Peak6 Investments piyasa analisti Kevin Cook, devlet borçları krizinin bitmediğini ve birkaç yıl daha süreceğini, buna karşın küresel ekonomik toparlanmada bir bozulma beklemediğini belirtti.

Cook, S&P 500 Endeksi'nin bu yaz 1.140 ila 1.240 aralığında hareket edeceğini, ancak yıl sonu itibariyle endeksin 1.300 seviyesine ulaşabileceğini söyledi. Cook, geri çekilmelerde kaliteli hisselerde alım yapacağını ifade etti.

Leader Capital'ın portföy yöneticisi John Lekas ise Avrupa'daki borç krizi konusunda hala endişelerinin olduğunu ve açıklanan paketin yetersiz kalabileceğini ifade etti.
Yatırımcılara Libordaki değişimleri takip etmeleri tavsiyesinde bulunan Lekas, Libor'daki yükselişin sürebileceği uyarısında bulundu.
Lekas, 2011 yılının ikinci çeyreğinde, Dow Jones Endeksi'nin 4.200 ila 5.000 seviyesine gerileyebileceğini söyledi.

[kayahan]

Chapman: current depression takes place in this way only every 300 to 500 years

Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster, 09/29/2010

It is interesting to watch how Wall Street opposes the reality. It is a scene as we have seen it since the early 60s and can be described as an effect of debt on the economy, country and currency. The result of this all these years of sustained viciousness is the biggest bull market in gold and silver in history.

As we write these lines, gold plays with the mark of USD 1,300 per ounce and silver is trading at about $ 21,50. Each day, recorded a new record high, although options expire and the market is constantly manipulated by the U.S. government.

One of the things that really surprised us is how come a few experts, this development in the past decade and a half years have seen and even those who saw it coming, assume that this is not an earth shattering event. We might, however, just before an event, known as taking place only every 300 to 500 years. The only thing we can think of is that these people have only a very limited perspective on historical events and in particular to the financial and economic history.

Since the year 2000 by Smart Money unnoticed gold and silver stocks are collected, coins and ingots. In gold, the figure was not even over 20% annually. It should be noted in this context is that gold demand rose in the second quarter of 2010 by 36%. Various events of recent developments have caused a change of mood in gold and silver.

Six to eight months, the New York banks responsible for a large dollar rally, driving the value of the dollar by 74 points in the U.S. dollar index from 89 Now he's dropped to 79. The problems in Greece and other members of the euro zone were at this rally as an accelerator. This ensured that the euro of $ 1.50 to $ 1.19 crashed. Now, the Euro is back at $ 1.35. It was here that is a temporary strengthening of the dollar.

11 weeks ago, we predicted that the U.S. would come in a new program of quantitative easing to bear that actually began well before a month. This is the way the Federal Reserve tries to keep the U.S. economy in front of collapse. The result of this step was that the foreign central banks again tried to devalue their currencies as the dollar falls in value again. This is reflected in the recent rise in dollar reserves of many countries. In order to devalue their currencies against the U.S. dollar, print these countries develop their own local currency to buy dollars. With these dollars they buy U.S. government bonds, or they give it very simply - this is devalued its currency in relation to the dollar. This is called intervention.

The prevailing attitude here is that if a country devalues its currency, then this country would suffer disadvantages to trade and export prices. This has been held for years and the U.S. governments have overlooked the practice ever since by the U.S. imports are cheaper, inflation is held down and you in this way buyers for U.S. government bonds, government bonds, U.S. stocks and investments generated.

Unfortunately for the U.S. now, some countries have come to believe U.S. debt are so annoying that we must now diversify by buying other currencies, commodities, and in some cases gold.

In the past, the main argument for gold has been that this investment pays no interest. What was not entirely understood, is that gold could increase its value within the last 10 years to around 20% annually. The argument as to why you should have no gold is therefore incorrect. This has cost the nations expensive and they will come to stand still expensive. In reality, they buy but because of pressure from the U.S. government has no gold.

The most visible intervention in the currency markets was to devalue by Japan, one avoids the hopeless attempt gave the currency in the breaking of contracts with other major countries. Their attempts at manipulation had no effect in an international currency market with a daily volume of USD 4 trillion, however.

Japan and other countries are now faced with the rising currency and credit amounts, which were created by the Fed to make the U.S. economy back to liquid. All attempts to fight a further U.S. $ 2.5 trillion by the Fed, will be futile. Almost every national currency to appreciate against the U.S. dollar and there is little that one can do about it.

The dollar was abandoned at the expense of trying to save the American economy, and is now in serious trouble. The currency devaluation will come, but they will not be successful. Russia is an exception and has so far taken no action to devalue the ruble.

Every time the International Monetary Fund tried to push the gold prices in gold sales, is on hand to buy up Russia's what makes the elitists in Europe and the U.S. pretty angry. About two-thirds of the decline of Russia's gross national product due to the drought and fires - but with almost $ 500 billion of currency reserves, they have no problems with buying Gold and currently have a stock of almost 24 million troy ounces. It is a simple way to throw the dollar on the market.

Time and again we hear the central announce to the world, they want to defend their currencies, so that its exports remain cheap. We wonder when someone will understand in Washington that this was done continuously in the past to damage the U.S. economy.

Free trade, globalization and outsourcing will not work. These measures alone have cost the Americans over the past 12 years more than 8 million jobs, the salaries of USD 30.00 down to $ 14.00 per hour and caused a depression. The British mercantilism has never worked, except for those who devalued their currency. America's only solution is to introduce rigid trade tariffs on foreign goods and services and in the abrogation of NAFTA, CAFTA and the WTO agreements.

Let's look at such as what China has done. The yuan is undervalued by 40% and the rest give a damn. They reserve the right to devalue its currency and then complain about the loss of value of the dollar and U.S. bonds they purchase because of that currency manipulation. If the U.S. wants to survive economically, then they will have to put an end to this criminal devaluation.

The U.S. Government, meanwhile, once more with their favorite method because it has the Federal Reserve. Thus there will be no cuts in spending deficits.

Everything that is done, the government must buy up to require the FED their debts, which then makes them by creating money out of nothing and loan. This is monetization and is inflationary. This species is the U.S. government for their mandatory spending, even though it has for the exact same issues with the public has already raised taxes. What most people do not know, however, is that all these funds have already been issued. In this way we have financed social assistance, pension rights and all the rescues. The difference has been bought by the FED, what people will end up paying, however.

Currently we are in a resting phase, a kind of magical moment where the super structure of the whole system is destroyed, but this is not particularly noticeable. The economy, we might add here, moves with the support of USD 2.5 trillion annually sideways. This may continue for several years that in the end it will cause a certain wild inflation, sometimes, as we did in the Weimar Republic and, most recently seen only in Zimbabwe can develop into a hyperinflation.

Inflation is on already, as you can confirm the consumer, and the risk of even more inflation is not far-fetched. One of these events leading to the outbreak of inflation is when the banks are held by their funds, currently around $ 1.5 trillion lent further. Currently, these funds are still harmless, but they will be awarded only once, or spend it comes to monetization. We can assure them that this day is within reach. If this is released only once, it comes to political, social and perhaps even military conflict.

Looking back in history, we see that those in power with such problems is always another war called into existence or turned against their own people. Historically, the no difficult matter, but today it looks because of talk radio and the internet was a little bit different as it allows the media to understand the people, which was forced upon them, which is forced upon them and by whom this happens.


Read more about Chapman: Current depression refers to this type only every 300 to 500 years instead of www.propagandafront.de

[Eskimo]

Kara eylül oldu pembe eylül

Pembe ekim de yoldadır ha

Olmadı kara büyü verelim belki o işe yarar Zira geh bili bili crash diyerek gelmiyor

[kayahan]

gelecek hafta abd den 3. çeyrek bilançolar açıklanmaya başlayacak.


ekim ayı keriz silkelemesi ayı olacak.

crashh zıplaya zıplaya yolda..

[kayahan]

crashhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh tüm hızıyla yolda


In October begins the real crisis!


So far, everything was a skirmish. A musician would say, a prelude. A dramatist would say, an introduction. In October begins the real crisis! So, as you would feel sitting in a car and how switches on the turbo ...

News in recent weeks have been extremely worrying. Yet these were hardly the way to the media system, the critics derisively call the 3 Media monkeys (hear nothing, nothing to see, speak nothing ...). But who was looking for information, it also found. The crisis now seems to have acquired a new dynamism.

In Germany, for example, attempts by politicians to war against its own people by bringing their projects (Stuttgart 21). The people must not only pay more, his opinion does not matter, and a perversion of the police, water cannons and as much violence. Bad and scary, in which time we have landed! But this is just a taste of things to come ...

More and more often the threat of popular uprisings, riots and civil wars in connection with the failure of the policy and the loss of trust in politicians is brought. The welfare states are at the end, only to admit it, no one dares.

Nevertheless, the media bring the strange and incredible Konjukturaufschwungsgeschichten The crisis-is-over stories. Somehow you can not believe them when you know that the figures is largely wrong.

The euro zone is slowly but surely falling apart. Ireland, Portugal and Spain soon followed by the "good" example of Greece. In Greece itself, it always goes down faster. The middle class will soon be wiped out, the rich move en masse from capital, more and more international companies to rethink their commitment to Greece and the State is seeking from the citizens of the past "juice" rauszupressen. The tourism this summer was not the revelation and the winter is bloody cold!

Most European countries are completely in debt. Savings programs are designed to separate the national economy but the lifeblood and provoke social unrest. Debts and can not even be paid back, but more and more are included. Ireland, for example. this year has a 32% budget overrun! Defined by the EU as the top 3% limit can be met by almost any EU country!

The EU in turn builds up as the people and the real foreign regimes with totalitarian tendencies. EUSSR would have been broke more of the name of this bureaucratic monster that national and ethnic traditions and idiosyncrasies would like to suppress them altogether, in favor of a faceless, uniform, and uncritical European people. Do you know these leaders, who want to rule us? Almost no one knows them, they are from the orbit of the powerful lobbies have come up. They worry about things more now irrelevant thoughts as to possible solutions of the current situation (neutral cigarette packs, energy saving lamps, etc.). A dangerous institution that is directed against the people of Europe and shines with self-importance and self-esteem. It will not be long and the people will recognize what traitors and dictators, it is up to eat!

Only now we get a glimpse of what early May of ran really is and how close it was. Obviously Germany really are about to exit from the euro zone and had arguments with the discouraged and join the droll € 750-billion action, otherwise all the time pretty much gone down the drain.

From the land of "opportunity" are hardly to be believed facts and figures. Now it is no longer enough just to print billions more. The U.S. is tarnished. More than 15% of all U.S. citizens need food stamps. The middle class is dying rapidly, extreme poverty affects masses of people who were just before or at work and well deserved. Unemployment is rising dramatically. The housing crisis again threatens to degenerate and to have more banks collapse. And the Dow Jones will not be granted good health. A stock market crash, not just on Wall Street is predicted by experts - a huge stock market crash! Furthermore, many U.S. states are as bankrupt as many large cities.

In addition, currently - too much talk of preventing terrorist threat, terrorist attacks and terrorist attacks - for my opinion. Does the fear level in the population will be raised again? Or are we (or white man) from a real terrorist attack? ... False Flag a la 9 / 11? Possibly, Obama now needs all the help, even a terrorist attack. For then the state can again play the protector! Who will be blamed this time? Osama bin Laden probably not, right? Remember, in November, congressional elections and Obama has lost the confidence of Americans largely!

Even from China threatens trouble. Not only that, the trade war between China and the United States has broken out fully, some markets seem to overheat, especially the real estate market. China can not isolate themselves more and the global turmoil and trends feel the same way.

Too much has been dammed, all previous aid packages billion economic stimulus and additional money printing has brought no solutions. There were only slowed down the development a little or delayed. Eventually, it was clear as day when there would be no fundamental change - and that was not - the crisis would be full again and there by the strong momentum of rapid than previously lost!

The discussions on the so-called free market unnecessary. Which is not available anymore, it was too great an impact and manipulated. The free market can regulate itself and thus not all principles are therefore invalid. The free market does not exist, neither the stock nor the banking sector, nor in international trade.

The October of that month, which we will say in future that the crisis has really started.