VOBjektif Seans Odası

OBAMA: reforma karşı olanlar, karşı partiden yandaş buldular (cumhuriyetçiler) Kongre karar verecek. Kimin yanında? statüko mu, halk mı? [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12302345723"]13 minutes ago[/URL] via web


OBAMA: Wall st reformuna karşı olanlar zamanın ve ortamın gerisinde kalmış demektir.. borsa bunu duyup zaten alamazdı. Goldman+Reform= Satiş [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12302165298"]18 minutes ago[/URL] via web



WALL St satarken... Başkan Obama az önce Wall St e karşı zehir zemberek konuştu: Reform yapıp wall st ve türevleri denetleyeceğiz [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12302057980"]20 minutes ago[/URL] via web



WALL KAPANIŞ: DOW 11,018 .... 11 BİN üzeri bugünlük kurtardı. s&p 1192 .. hasarlı [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12301871092"]25 minutes ago[/URL] via web


WALL: Felaket fiyatlanmiyor. Kar satışı yapılıyor. [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12297514374"]about 2 hours ago[/URL] via [URL="http://twitterrific.com/"]Twitterrific[/URL]


Wall kapanışa 100 dakka var. Dow 11 bin üstü. SP 1196 da. 11 bin ve 1200 üzeri kapanış eksi de olsa kurtarır. [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12297476326"]about 2 hours ago[/URL] via [URL="http://twitterrific.com/"]Twitterrific[/URL]
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DOKTORA soru: stres mi, yoksa boş oturmak mı iyi? stres iyiymiş, kalbi çalıştırır. boş oturup sıkılınca vücut -bana gerek yok- deyip ölürmüş [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12294543925"]about 3 hours ago[/URL] via web
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Dow yine 11 bini seviyor... 11,010 puan... kapanışa bakmak gerekiyor 11 binin kaderi konusunda. [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12293916046"]about 3 hours ago[/URL] via web


Bu işlerde Moodys in notları da etkili. Moodys in de başı derde girebilir. Hissesi de %6 aşağıda [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12293239635"]about 4 hours ago[/URL] via web


Siyasi anlamda: Washngton tam Wall ST reform paketi hazırlarken, goldman olayı geldi. Bazıları 'operasyon' havası seziyor. [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12293194162"]about 4 hours ago[/URL] via web


Avrupa Bankaları da paspas oldu. barclays %3 deustche %7 ... asya açık olsa asya da paspas olurdu. pazar gecesi de onlar başlar [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12293085709"]about 4 hours ago[/URL] via web


NE DİYORDUK: riskler spot, ödüller vadeli... spot risk 'pat' diye köşeden çıkıp borsa duvarına bindirdi. ters yöne giren kamyon... [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12292845489"]about 4 hours ago[/URL] via web


Hafta başında o kadar başlık atılmıştı DOW 11 BİN ! diye... Kağıda, mürekkebe yazık [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12292662926"]about 4 hours ago[/URL] via web


WALL: BU KADAR BASKIYA ASFALT BİLE DAYANMAZ, ÇÖKER: dow 10,981.. 11 bini öperek uğurladık [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12292621694"]about 4 hours ago[/URL] via web


WALL: goldman işi sokaktaki yatırımcıyı korkutur... sokağın içindekileri de korkutur. Çünkü Wall St insanlardan oluşur ve insan korkar. [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12292391968"]about 4 hours ago[/URL] via web
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WALL: özlü söz: Goldman hissesi 24 $ düştü. borsacılık kariyerimde hiç bu hissenin 24$ düştüğünü hatırlamıyorum... [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12292336303"]about 4 hours ago[/URL] via web
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yeni satış dalgasıyla dow 11001 e indi... şimdi 11011... şimdilik direniyor ancak 11 bin garanti değil [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12291114575"]about 4 hours ago[/URL] via web
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WALL: SPK ve savcılık bu açıklamayı neden piyasa açıkken yaptı ? istedikleri zaman yapabilirlerdi. doğrudan piyasalara su sıktılar [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12290559457"]about 4 hours ago[/URL] via web
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WALL: kaderin cilvesi, piyasayı haftalardır banka - mali sektör taşıdı. şimdi bankalar soruşturmada ve iyi kar satışı fırsatı geldi [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12290495208"]about 4 hours ago[/URL] via web
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GOLDMAN açıklama yaptı: iddialar asılsızdır, reddediyoruz. en kararlı biçimde mücadele edeceğiz. [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12290350231"]about 5 hours ago[/URL] via web
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ALTIN VE PETROL de satıyor: soruşturmaya uğrayan hedge fon Paulson un bu piyasalarda pozisyonu vardı. onlar da çözülüyor. herşey satışta! [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12289888295"]about 5 hours ago[/URL] via web
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WALL: haftalardır konuşulan 'düzeltme' de bu vesileyle yapılmakta. Goldman işi daha haftalar sürecek. *başka hangi banka var [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12289385654"]about 5 hours ago[/URL] via web
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WALL: borsa neyin ne olduğuna bakmıyor. başlıkları görünce otomatik satıyor. cuma hafta sonu ve de güzel bir kar satış fırsatı. [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12289335003"]about 5 hours ago[/URL] via web
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SPK diyor ki, başka aracı kurum, Paulson&Co, Goldman ile anlaşıp bu yalan dolan menkul kıymetleri bile bile paketledi ve açığa sattı [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12289188439"]about 5 hours ago[/URL] via web
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Subprime: Paketlenen kredilere en üst kredi notu verildi ve bu -temiz menkul kıymetlerle yeni alışveriş yapıldı. büyük kaldıraçlar yaratıldı [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12289047633"]about 5 hours ago[/URL] via web
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Subprime neydi ? krediyi ödeyemeyecek alıcılara çok yüksek faizle konut kredisi verildi. sonra krediler paketlendi, menkul kıymete çevrildi [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12288987468"]about 5 hours ago[/URL] via web
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S/P 1200 puana elveda - dedi.. 1192 [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12288557413"]about 5 hours ago[/URL] via web
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Goldman Hissesi %14 Ekside... gerçek anlamda bir kırım var [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12288520004"]about 5 hours ago[/URL] via web
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DOW 122 puan ekside. 11022 de.. 11 bin korunacak mı ? [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12288500658"]about 5 hours ago[/URL] via web
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SPK - SEC: benzer dolandırıcılık başka bankalarda görülürse onların da peşinden gideceğiz [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12288470511"]about 5 hours ago[/URL] via web
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GOLDMAN haberi borsayı yıktı... Toparlanan endeksler inişte.. Goldman'ın CDS leri fırladı [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12288435872"]about 5 hours ago[/URL] via web
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ABD SPK si Goldman Sachs in subprİme mortgage işlerinde dolandırıcılık yaptığını belirleyip iddianame yazdı.. Goldman'a ağır suçlama [URL="http://twitter.com/SelimAtalayNY/status/12287882552"]about 5 hours ago[/URL] via web <LI class="hentry u-SelimAtalayNY status" jQuery1271449701312="95">

selim atalay ın bu kadar heyecanına,...goldman ın ve obama nın bu açıklamalarına rağmen 11000 ustunde tutunması düşündürücü...

[quote=ATHLON;229687]selim atalay ın bu kadar heyecanına,...goldman ın ve obama nın bu açıklamalarına rağmen 11000 ustunde tutunması düşündürücü...[/quote]

[U]Unlu habitat abi bile[/U] bugün "TEPECEK" + " PİŞMAN OLACAKSIN" demediğine göre hareket derinleşir mi diye düşünmeye başladım..

:confused:

Unlu habitat abi , buradaysan bir ses ver.. DOOO DOOO...:::

[quote=ATHLON;229687]selim atalay ın bu kadar heyecanına,...goldman ın ve obama nın bu açıklamalarına rağmen 11000 ustunde tutunması düşündürücü...[/quote]


goldman ve obamayı bilemiyorum ama Selim bey düşüremediyse gerçekten sorgulanmalı yoksa yeni bir tobo hazırlığımı...:::

[quote=a.kaya;229241]60 dk grafik hiç hoş durmuyor.Günlüklerde zaten aşırı yorgun bitgin bir halde üflesen göççek gibi sanki. Bu py de ne para varmış be kardeşim nerden nereye hani yüzyılın kriziydi hani 1929 buhranından beter olacaktı.Demek ki yüzyılın yalanıymış :D[/quote]


demek 60 dk lıklar doğru söylüyormuş vay be bunu da takip edeyim bundan sonra bari.

Cuma kapanış seviyesi bana göre tam sınırda kapadı.Önümüzdeki hafta resim daha da netleşecek.Kanalları takibe devam edeceğim.Benim beklentim ise en azından 78000 görmek ve sonra düzeltme gelmesi idi.Ancak piyasa gitmek istemesse yapacak bir şey yok.Yalnız bir şey dikkatimi çekti.Bende dahil olmak üzere büyük çoğunlukta şort açma arzusu arttı buda bende soru işaretleri oluşturmaya başladı,acaba diyorum asıl finale daha var olabilir mi?Faiz ve dövizdeki bu düşüşler devam ettiği sürece bu borsanın pekde düşmeye niyetinin olacağını sanmıyorum ,evet kısa vadeli sert düzeltmeler olacak ve oluyorda ama asıl trend hala devam etmekte ,yorgun ve bezgin bir şekilde yoluna devam etsede yukarı gitmeye hala devam ediyor .

Herkese iyi haftasonları,



[URL="http://urlal.com/"][IMG]http://i1004.hizliresim.com/2010/4/17/1564.jpg[/IMG][/URL]

[B]Investor Who Made Billions Is Not Target of Suits[/B]

Three and half years ago, a New York hedge fund manager with a bearish view on the housing market was pounding the pavement on Wall Street.

Eager to increase his bets against subprime mortgages, the investor, [URL="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/p/john_paulson/index.html?inline=nyt-per"][COLOR=#004276]John A. Paulson[/COLOR][/URL], canvassed firm after firm, looking for new ways to profit from home loans that he was sure would go sour.
Only a few investment banks agreed to help him. One was [URL="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/business/companies/deutsche_bank_ag/index.html?inline=nyt-org"][COLOR=#004276]Deutsche Bank[/COLOR][/URL]. The other was the mighty [URL="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/business/companies/goldman_sachs_group_inc/index.html?inline=nyt-org"][COLOR=#004276]Goldman Sachs[/COLOR][/URL].
Mr. Paulson struck gold. His prescience made him billions and transformed him from a relative nobody into something of a celebrity on Wall Street and in Washington.
But now his brassy bets have thrust Mr. Paulson into an uncomfortable spotlight. On Friday, the [URL="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/organizations/s/securities_and_exchange_commission/index.html?inline=nyt-org"][COLOR=#004276]Securities and Exchange Commission[/COLOR][/URL] filed a civil fraud lawsuit against Goldman for neglecting to tell its customers that mortgage investments they were buying consisted of pools of dubious loans that Mr. Paulson had selected because they were highly likely to fail.
By betting against the pool of questionable mortgage bonds, Mr. Paulson made $1 billion when they collapsed just a few months later, the S.E.C. said. Investors, who bought what regulators are essentially calling a pig in a poke, lost the same amount.
Mr. Paulson, 54, was not named as a defendant in the S.E.C. suit, but his role in devising the instrument that caused $1 billion in losses for Goldman’s customers is detailed in the complaint. Robert Khuzami, the director of enforcement at the S.E.C., explained that, unlike Goldman, the manager of the hedge fund, Paulson & Company, had not made misrepresentations to investors buying the security, known as a [URL="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/subjects/c/collateralized-debt-obligations/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier"][COLOR=#004276]collateralized debt obligation[/COLOR][/URL].
“While it’s unfortunate that people lost money investing in mortgage-backed securities, Paulson has never been involved in the origination, distribution or structuring of such securities,” said Stefan Prelog, a spokesman for Mr. Paulson, in a statement. “We have always been forthright in expressing our opinion as to the quality of the underlying mortgages. Paulson has never misrepresented our positions to any counterparties.
“There’s no question we made money in these transactions. However, all our dealings were through arm’s-length transactions with experienced counterparties who had opposing views based on all available information at the time. We were straightforward in our dislike of these securities, but the vast majority of people in the market thought we were dead wrong and openly and aggressively purchased the securities we were selling.”
Still, the details unearthed by the S.E.C. in its investigation show a deep involvement by Mr. Paulson in the creation of the investment, known as Abacus 2007-AC1. For example, he approached Goldman about constructing and marketing the debt security.
After analyzing risky mortgages made on homes in Arizona, California, Florida and Nevada, where the housing markets had overheated, Mr. Paulson went to Goldman to talk about how he could bet against those loans. He focused his analysis on adjustable-rate loans taken out by borrowers with relatively low [URL="http://www.nytimes.com/info/credit-score/?inline=nyt-classifier"][COLOR=#004276]credit scores[/COLOR][/URL] and turned up more than 100 loan pools that he considered vulnerable, the S.E.C. said.
Mr. Paulson then asked Goldman to put together a portfolio of these pools, or others like them that he could wager against. He paid $15 million to Goldman for creating and marketing the Abacus deal, the complaint says.
One of a small cohort of money managers who saw the mortgage market in late 2006 as a bubble waiting to burst, Mr. Paulson capitalized on the opacity of mortgage-related securities that Wall Street cobbled together and sold to its clients. These instruments contained thousands of mortgage loans that few investors bothered to analyze.
Instead, the buyers relied on the opinions of credit ratings agencies like [URL="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/business/companies/moodys_corporation/index.html?inline=nyt-org"][COLOR=#004276]Moody’s[/COLOR][/URL], [URL="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/business/companies/standard_and_poors/index.html?inline=nyt-org"][COLOR=#004276]Standard & Poor’s[/COLOR][/URL] and [URL="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/business/companies/fitch_ratings_inc/index.html?inline=nyt-org"][COLOR=#004276]Fitch Ratings[/COLOR][/URL]. These turned out to be overly rosy, and investors suffered hundreds of billions in losses when the loans underlying these securities went bad.
Mr. Paulson personally made an estimated $3.7 billion in 2007 as a result of his hedge fund’s performance, and another $2 billion in 2008.
He was also treated like a celebrity by members of a Congressional committee that invited him to testify in November 2008 about the [URL="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/subjects/c/credit_crisis/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier"][COLOR=#004276]credit crisis[/COLOR][/URL]. At the time, none of the lawmakers asked how he had managed to set up his lucrative trades; they seemed more interested in getting his advice on how to solve the credit crisis.
A Queens-born graduate of [URL="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/organizations/n/new_york_university/index.html?inline=nyt-org"][COLOR=#004276]New York University[/COLOR][/URL] and the Harvard Business School, Mr. Paulson went to Wall Street in the early 1980s just as the biggest bull market in history was starting. He joined [URL="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/business/companies/bear_stearns_companies/index.html?inline=nyt-org"][COLOR=#004276]Bear Stearns[/COLOR][/URL] in 1984 as a junior executive in the investment banking unit.
Ten years later, he started his hedge fund with $2 million of his own capital. During the technology-stock bubble of the late 1990s, Mr. Paulson took a negative stance on high-flying shares and profited handsomely for himself and his clients.
By the end of 2008, Mr. Paulson’s assets under management had risen to $36.1 billion. In an early 2009 interview with The New York Times, Mr. Paulson talked about his success. “We are very proud of our performance last year,” he said. “We provided an oasis of profitable returns for our investors in a year where there were few sources of gains.”
His investors, which included pension funds, endowments, wealthy families and individuals, were huge beneficiaries of his strategy, Mr. Paulson added. “They made four times as much as we did,” he said.
Mr. Paulson and his investment program was the subject of the 2009 book by Gregory Zuckerman “The Greatest Trade Ever.” Mr. Zuckerman wrote that Mr. Paulson did not think there was anything wrong with working with various banks to create troubled investments that he could then bet against.
“Paulson told his own clients what he was up to and they supported him, considering it an ingenious way to grow the trade by finding more debt to short,” Mr. Zuckerman wrote. “After all, those who would buy the pieces of any C.D.O. likely would be hedge funds, banks, pension plans or other sophisticated investors, not mom-and-pop investors.”
Late last year, Mr. Paulson donated $20 million to the Stern School of Business at New York University and $5 million to Southampton Hospital in Long Island’s East End, where he bought a $41 million home in early 2008. He lives with his wife and two daughters on the Upper East Side of Manhattan.
Amid criticism of investment strategies that profited from mortgage defaults, home foreclosures and other miseries, Mr. Paulson has also given $15 million to the Center for Responsible Lending for a center devoted to providing foreclosure assistance to troubled borrowers.
At the time of the donation, Mr. Paulson said of the center and its work, “We are pleased to help them provide legal services to distressed homeowners, many of whom have been victimized by predatory lenders.”

NY Times

Opsyon günleri zor günlerdir.

Cumakide böyle oldu.

Herşey normal uyuz artan günlerdden biri olması beklenirken, HABER olayı esir aldı.

Açılıştan hemen sonra.

Bu haberi niye perşembe servis etmediler, veya seans öncesi vermediler, niye hafsonu değil. Veya pazartesi değil.

Opsyon gününde.

Çünkü 11000-11000 ve 1200 geçilmesiyle shortçular patladı.

Yeni longcular, yeni callcılar peydahlandı.

Bu yenileride patlattılar, tam gününde.

Bundan sonrasında vade sonundayız vobda.

Bu 20 gün yazı yazmayacağım burada vobcu olmadığım için çünkü yurtdışı uyumda sorunlar olabilir.

Kimseyi sonuçta yanıltmak istemem.

Tek bilinmesi gereken yurtdışı için 200 haftalık geçilirse yeni bir durum değerlendirmesi yapılmalı.

Aşağıdada 1187 nin kırılması shortçulara avantaj olur.

Jelibon.

Tüm Fenerbahçe camiasını kutlar herkese bereketli haftalar dilerim.

[FONT=Times New Roman][SIZE=3][B]Günaydın, [/SIZE][/FONT]
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[FONT=Times New Roman][SIZE=3][U]19 Nisan Pazartesi [COLOR="blue"]"Yurtdışı"[/COLOR] Gündeminden Bazı Başlıklar[/SIZE][/FONT]
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[FONT=Times New Roman][SIZE=3]Para Birimi - Makro Ekonomik Geli‏şme - TSİ - Piyasa Beklentisi - Önceki - Önemlilik Derecesi[/U][/B][/SIZE][/FONT]
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[FONT=Times New Roman][SIZE=3][U] EUR İnşaat Üretimi (a/a) (Şub) 12:00 -%2,2 Yüksek [/U][/SIZE][/FONT]
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[FONT=Times New Roman][SIZE=3][B] USD Fed-Charles Evans'in Konuşması (Chicago, Illinois) 16:00 Düşük [/SIZE][/FONT]
[SIZE=3][FONT=Times New Roman] [COLOR="red"]USD Fed-Ben Bernanke'nin Konuşması (Chicago) 16:00 Yüksek [/COLOR][/FONT][/SIZE]
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[SIZE=3][FONT=Times New Roman] USD Öncü Göstergeler (Mar) 17:00 %1,0 %0,1 Yüksek [/B][/FONT][/SIZE]
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[SIZE=3][FONT=Times New Roman] USD Fed-Elizabeth Duke'un Konuşması (Alexandria, Virginia) 23:00 Düşük [/FONT][/SIZE]
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[FONT=Times New Roman][SIZE=3][B][U]Bazı Bilançolar[/U][/B][/SIZE][/FONT]
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[FONT=Times New Roman][SIZE=3]Citigroup Inc. (C) 0.0 $ (Açılış Öncesi- 15:00 TSI)[/SIZE][/FONT]
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[FONT=Times New Roman][SIZE=3]International Business Machines (IBM) 1.93$ (Kapanış sonrası)[/SIZE][/FONT]
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[FONT=Times New Roman][SIZE=3][B][U][COLOR="Blue"]"Türkiye"[/COLOR] Gündeminden Bazı Başlıklar[/U][/B][/SIZE][/FONT]
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[FONT=Times New Roman][SIZE=3]Şubat dönemi Kısa vadeli dış borçlar (10:00)[/SIZE][/FONT]
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[FONT=Times New Roman][SIZE=3][B] Bol Kazançlar..İyi Haftalar..[/B][/SIZE][/FONT]

Günaydın hayırlı işler
bol kazançlı haftalar

herkese günaydınlar.

yarına yetiştirmem gereken bi proje var. o yüzden bugün piyasalara bakamayacağım.

geçen hafta da birkaç kez dile getirdim, kol kesmekten imtina eden, kellesini eline alır...

hepinize bol kazançlar.